Odds of winning EuroDreams: probability of each tier
Exact probabilities for one line, independent of stakes and prizes. They are the same in every draw.
EuroDreams prizes by tier
| Tier | Matches | Probability | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 Matches + Dream number | 1 in 19,191,900 | 0.000005 % |
| 2 | 6 Matches | 1 in 4,797,975 | 0.000021 % |
| 3 | 5 Matches | 1 in 18,816 | 0.005315 % |
| 4 | 4 Matches | 1 in 456 | 0.219233 % |
| 5 | 3 Matches | 1 in 32 | 3.117982 % |
| 6 | 2 Matches | 1 in 6 | 18.123271 % |
| Chance of winning something | 1 in 4.7 | 21.47 % |
Probability per line under the current rules, calculated exactly. Tiers 1 and 2 are fixed annuities; tiers 3 to 6 are shared among the winners.
Multiple lines
With n different lines, the jackpot chance is multiplied by exactly n (the lines are mutually exclusive).
| Lines | Jackpot chance | Chance of winning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 in 19,191,900 | 21.5 % |
| 2 | 1 in 9,595,950 | 38.3 % |
| 5 | 1 in 3,838,380 | 70.1 % |
| 10 | 1 in 1,919,190 | 91.1 % |
| 20 | 1 in 959,595 | 99.2 % |
| 50 | 1 in 383,838 | 100.0 % |
| 100 | 1 in 191,919 | 100.0 % |
Average wait
Playing one line per draw, this is the average time you wait for the first win in the tier: (104 draws per year)
| Tier | Draws | years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19,191,900 | 184,537.5 |
| 2 | 4,797,975 | 46,134.4 |
| 3 | 18,816 | 180.9 |
| 4 | 456 | 4.4 |
| 5 | 32 | 0.3 |
| 6 | 6 | 0.1 |
For comparison
A jackpot chance of 1 in 19,191,900 is roughly equivalent to getting heads 24 times in a row when tossing a coin.