Odds of winning Lotto Max: probability of each tier
Exact probabilities for one line, independent of stakes and prizes. They are the same in every draw.
Lotto Max prizes by tier
| Tier | Matches | Probability | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 Matches | 1 in 133,784,560 | 0.000001 % |
| 2 | 6 Matches + Bonus number | 1 in 19,112,080 | 0.000005 % |
| 3 | 6 Matches | 1 in 434,365 | 0.000230 % |
| 4 | 5 Matches + Bonus number | 1 in 144,788 | 0.000691 % |
| 5 | 5 Matches | 1 in 6,734 | 0.014849 % |
| 6 | 4 Matches + Bonus number | 1 in 4,041 | 0.024749 % |
| 7 | 4 Matches | 1 in 289 | 0.346482 % |
| 8 | 3 Matches + Bonus number | 1 in 289 | 0.346482 % |
| 9 | 3 Matches | 1 in 28 | 3.551445 % |
| Chance of winning something | 1 in 23.3 | 4.28 % |
Probability per line under the current rules, calculated exactly. The prize for a tier is the share of stakes allocated to that tier divided by the number of winners; for jackpot tiers, the amount is rolled over to the next draw if nobody wins.
Multiple lines
With n different lines, the jackpot chance is multiplied by exactly n (the lines are mutually exclusive).
| Lines | Jackpot chance | Chance of winning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 in 133,784,560 | 4.3 % |
| 2 | 1 in 66,892,280 | 8.4 % |
| 5 | 1 in 26,756,912 | 19.7 % |
| 10 | 1 in 13,378,456 | 35.5 % |
| 20 | 1 in 6,689,228 | 58.4 % |
| 50 | 1 in 2,675,691 | 88.8 % |
| 100 | 1 in 1,337,846 | 98.7 % |
Average wait
Playing one line per draw, this is the average time you wait for the first win in the tier: (104 draws per year)
| Tier | Draws | years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 133,784,560 | 1,286,390.0 |
| 2 | 19,112,080 | 183,770.0 |
| 3 | 434,365 | 4,176.6 |
| 4 | 144,788 | 1,392.2 |
| 5 | 6,734 | 64.8 |
| 6 | 4,041 | 38.9 |
| 7 | 289 | 2.8 |
| 8 | 289 | 2.8 |
| 9 | 28 | 0.3 |
For comparison
A jackpot chance of 1 in 133,784,560 is roughly equivalent to getting heads 27 times in a row when tossing a coin.